Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000180 0.000223 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000242 0.000318
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000197 0.000268 0.000368
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000203 0.000287 0.000411
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000212 0.000309 0.000458
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000216 0.000326 0.000500
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000221 0.000344 0.000544
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000227 0.000364 0.000593
2024-12-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000234 0.000384 0.000645
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000241 0.000405 0.000699
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000245 0.000424 0.000750
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000077 0.000140 0.000253 0.000449 0.000817
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000261 0.000476 0.000888
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000264 0.000492 0.000942
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000276 0.000526 0.001031
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000141 0.000280 0.000546 0.001096
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000141 0.000287 0.000573 0.001176
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000139 0.000290 0.000591 0.001240
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000065 0.000138 0.000294 0.000611 0.001310
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000138 0.000300 0.000635 0.001390
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000138 0.000306 0.000662 0.001477